North American potato production in 2025 is set to ease modestly, led by a smaller U.S. crop and a slight pullback in Canada, according to the latest North American Potatoes report released on December 19 by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (USDA NASS).

USDA NASS estimates combined 2025 production for the United States and Canada at 538 million hundredweight (cwt), down 2% from the 2024 estimate. U.S. production is pegged at 412 million cwt, also down 2% year on year, while Canada is estimated at 126 million cwt, down 1%.

The report compiles previously published official statistics from USDA NASS, Statistics Canada, and Mexico’s DGSIAP, bringing North American production data into a single set of tables and a multi-year chart.

U.S.: Fewer Acres, Higher Yield

In the United States, the 2025 decline reflects a contraction in planted and harvested area rather than weaker field performance. The report shows U.S. potato area planted at 901,000 acres and harvested area at 894,800 acres in 2025, both below 2024 levels. Yield, however, is estimated at 461 cwt per acre, up from 454 cwt per acre in 2024.

That combination results in total U.S. production of 412.062 million cwt for 2025, compared with 421.172 million cwt the year before. For market participants, the acreage-driven nature of the decline matters: it implies that supply tightening is linked to growers’ planting decisions and land use rather than a widespread yield shock.

USDA’s Economic Research Service, in a separate December outlook, also characterises the 2025 U.S. crop as smaller mainly because reduced harvested acreage outweighed the yield improvement, describing the 461 cwt-per-acre yield as a record level.

The North American Potatoes tables also underscore a data timing point for pricing: the U.S. table includes a 2024 average price of $11.70 per cwt and a 2024 value of production of $4.948 billion, while the 2025 price and value fields are blank, indicating that the estimation period has not yet begun for those series.

Canada: Slight Dip After Multiple Strong Years

Canada’s 2025 production is listed at 125.835 million cwt, down from 127.025 million cwt in 2024. The report also shows Canadian potato area planted rising to 395,900 acres in 2025 from 391,500 acres the year before, while harvested area increases to 391,700 acres from 383,500 acres. The year-on-year decline in output is therefore explained by a lower average yield: 321.2 cwt per acre in 2025 versus 331.2 cwt per acre in 2024.

Statistics Canada’s December 2025 release on Canadian potato production reports the same overall direction of travel, describing a 0.9% decline in 2025 output to roughly 125.8 million hundredweight, after several years of high production. In other words, the joint North American report aligns with Canada’s national statistical release in both level and trend.

Mexico And The Wider North American Picture

For North America as a whole, the report provides the latest combined figure through 2024 for the United States, Canada, and Mexico: 595 million cwt, down 3% from the 2023 estimate. Mexico’s 2024 production is shown at 46.819 million cwt, up 7% from 2023, alongside an average 2024 price of $23.64 per cwt and a value of production of $1.107 billion.

One editorial caution for readers: the narrative text on page 1 contains an apparent typo when referencing Canada’s 2024 volume, stating “127 million cwt during 2023.” The Canada table, however, clearly lists 126.593 million cwt for 2023 and 127.025 million cwt for 2024, which is consistent with the report’s broader context and the combined North American totals.

Trade and industry outlets that cited the December 19 release report the same headline numbers for 2025—538 million cwt for the U.S. and Canada combined, 412 million cwt for the U.S., and roughly 126 million cwt for Canada—supporting a straightforward interpretation of the official tables and year-on-year changes.